Politics · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi definitively win its legal dispute with the CFTC over election prediction markets by the end of 2026?
A federal judge rejected the CFTC's request for an emergency stay against Kalshi's election markets, but the regulatory litigation… 21 opinions, 52% Yes
- Yes — 52%
- No — 48%
Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions
Resolution rules
A federal judge rejected the CFTC's request for an emergency stay against Kalshi's election markets, but the regulatory litigation remains open and could impact the prediction market sector in the US.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se um tribunal federal dos EUA emitir decisão final (não sujeita a recurso pendente) favorável à Kalshi, permitindo a operação plena dos mercados de previsão eleitoral sem restrições da CFTC, até 31/12/2026. Fonte: decisões públicas do PACER (sistema federal de processos dos EUA) ou comunicado oficial da Kalshi.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.