Science · Open for opinions
Will Reflect Orbital launch the Eärendil-1 space mirror satellite by October 31, 2026?
The startup Reflect Orbital plans to launch its test satellite in 2026 amid debates with astronomers over light pollution. 38 opinions, 66% No
- Yes — 34%
- No — 66%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 38 opinions
Resolution rules
The startup Reflect Orbital plans to launch its test satellite in 2026 amid debates with astronomers over light pollution.
Source: www.sciencenews.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 17/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o satélite de demonstração Eärendil-1, da startup Reflect Orbital, for oficialmente lançado ao espaço (alcançando órbita terrestre) até 31/10/2026, conforme confirmado pela FAA, pela SpaceX, pelo catálogo oficial de lançamentos da US Space Force ou pela própria Reflect Orbital. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 66% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 34 points, a wrong one costs about 66.