Politics · Open for opinions
Will the US Congress pass specific federal legislation for prediction markets by March 2027?
Following Kalshi's legal victory in 2024, prediction markets soared in influence during the US election cycle, being cited alongside… 46 opinions, 89% No
- Yes — 11%
- No — 89%
Deadline: March 19, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 46 opinions
Resolution rules
Following Kalshi's legal victory in 2024, prediction markets soared in influence during the US election cycle, being cited alongside traditional polls. The debate on federal regulation is open.
Source: tradersunion.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada na sanção presidencial de lei federal nos EUA que regulamente especificamente plataformas de mercados de previsão como Kalshi e Polymarket, conforme registros públicos do Congresso em congress.gov.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 89% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 11 points, a wrong one costs about 89.