Science · Open for opinions
Will NOAA maintain or issue an active 'El Niño Advisory' status through 10/31/2026?
Consider official NOAA reports published between 09/07 and 10/31 regarding El Niño's influence on the harvest. 15 opinions, 53% No
- Yes — 47%
- No — 53%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 15 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider official NOAA reports published between 09/07 and 10/31 regarding El Niño's influence on the harvest.
Source: www.climatempo.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 07/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o Climate Prediction Center da NOAA classificar oficialmente o status do monitoramento ENSO como 'El Niño Advisory' em atualização oficial até 31/10/2026, conforme divulgado no portal da NOAA (cpc.ncep.noaa.gov). Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 53% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 47 points, a wrong one costs about 53.