Finance · Open for opinions
Will the primary result of the consolidated public sector in 2026 be within the tolerance band of the fiscal framework?
Economists such as Felipe Salto, from Warren Rena, point out that fiscal adjustment will be imposed on the next government, but the… 81 opinions, 70% No
- Yes — 30%
- No — 70%
Deadline: March 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 81 opinions
Resolution rules
Economists such as Felipe Salto, from Warren Rena, point out that fiscal adjustment will be imposed on the next government, but the fragmented Congress tends to make the approval of structural measures difficult, increasing the risk of non-compliance with the target.
Source: www.bloomberglinea.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido com base no relatório oficial de resultado fiscal do Tesouro Nacional referente ao exercício de 2026, publicado em fevereiro ou março de 2027. Considera-se 'Sim' se o resultado primário do governo central ficar dentro da banda de tolerância estabelecida pelo arcabouço fiscal vigente.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 70% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 30 points, a wrong one costs about 70.