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Finance · Open for opinions

What will be the Selic rate set by Copom at the last meeting of 2026?

With high debt, structurally high interest rates, and pressure for fiscal adjustment, the level of the Selic rate… 20 opinions, 25% Below 13.00% per year

  • Below 13.00% per year — 25%
  • Between 13.00% and 14.00% per year — 25%
  • Between 14.01% and 15.00% per year — 25%
  • Above 15.00% per year — 25%

Deadline: December 12, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

With high debt, structurally high interest rates, and pressure for fiscal adjustment, the level of the Selic rate at the end of 2026 is central to the economic outlook. Meirelles advocates coordination between fiscal and monetary policies.

Source: sbtnews.sbt.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução baseada na decisão oficial do Comitê de Política Monetária (Copom) do Banco Central do Brasil divulgada na última reunião do calendário de 2026 (prevista para dezembro). Fonte: nota oficial do Banco Central (bcb.gov.br).

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Below 13.00% per year has 25% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 75 points, a wrong one costs about 25.

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