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Finance · Open for opinions

Will IBGE publish an official technical note on the inclusion of illicit activities in GDP by 10/31/2026?

IBGE is evaluating adapting the System of National Accounts to international standards that measure the illegal market. 75 opinions, 63% No

  • Yes — 37%
  • No — 63%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 75 opinions

Resolution rules

IBGE is evaluating adapting the System of National Accounts to international standards that measure the illegal market.

Source: g1.globo.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 26/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística (IBGE) publicar nota técnica ou documento metodológico oficial detalhando a metodologia de inclusão do mercado ilícito no PIB até 31/10/2026, no portal ibge.gov.br. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 63% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 37 points, a wrong one costs about 63.

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Will IBGE publish an official technical note on the inclusion of… — 63% No · VoxFi