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Will Democrats control the US Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Election projections on the night of November 3-4, 2026, show Democrats flipping Republican Senate seats and leading in dozens of… 89 opinions, 62% Yes

  • Yes — 62%
  • No — 38%

Deadline: November 25, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions

Resolution rules

Election projections on the night of November 3-4, 2026, show Democrats flipping Republican Senate seats and leading in dozens of House districts, in what is described as a historic rejection of Trump and the economy.

Source: www.cnn.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se a Associated Press ou o NYT declarar que o Partido Democrata obteve maioria de assento no Senado norte-americano após a certificação dos resultados das eleições de novembro de 2026. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.

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