Finance · Open for opinions
Will the commercial US dollar (USD/BRL) exceed R$5.40 by October 31, 2026?
The commercial dollar trades above R$5.20 on 09/29/2026, pressured by domestic electoral uncertainty and caution regarding US… 72 opinions, 72% No
- Yes — 28%
- No — 72%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 72 opinions
Resolution rules
The commercial dollar trades above R$5.20 on 09/29/2026, pressured by domestic electoral uncertainty and caution regarding US interest rates. Any further deterioration of the scenario could lead the exchange rate to higher levels.
Source: valor.globo.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se a taxa PTAX de venda do dólar comercial divulgada pelo Banco Central do Brasil atingir ou superar R$5,40 em qualquer dia útil de outubro de 2026. Fonte oficial: Banco Central do Brasil (bcb.gov.br).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 72% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 28 points, a wrong one costs about 72.