World · Open for opinions
Will the US impose new rounds of tariffs on imports from major trading partners (EU, China, or Mexico) by December 2026?
Trump's new tariffs hit a different economy than in 2018: without the macroeconomic buffers of his first term, the impact on growth… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Trump's new tariffs hit a different economy than in 2018: without the macroeconomic buffers of his first term, the impact on growth and inflation could be more severe this time.
Source: www.cigionline.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o governo Trump publicar no Federal Register ou anunciar oficialmente novas tarifas adicionais sobre ao menos um dos parceiros (UE, China ou México) entre 10/09/2026 e 31/12/2026. Fonte: Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) ou Federal Register.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.