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Science · Open for opinions

Will the LZ collaboration confirm the detection of dark matter with 5 sigma by 10/31/2026?

New clues captured by the LZ detector have reopened the race for definitive proof of dark matter particles. 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

New clues captured by the LZ detector have reopened the race for definitive proof of dark matter particles.

Source: www.sciencenews.org

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 01/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a colaboração internacional do experimento LUX-ZEPLIN (LZ) anunciar formalmente a detecção de matéria escura com significância estatística igual ou superior a 5 sigma (5σ), via comunicado no site oficial do LZ/Berkeley Lab ou artigo revisado por pares até 31/10/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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