Finance · Open for opinions
Will the US dollar (USD/BRL) surpass R$ 6.20 before December 31, 2026?
The snippet from 10/28/2026 points to a rise in the dollar driven by fiscal risk aversion in the Lula 4 administration, with… 87 opinions, 57% Yes
- Yes — 57%
- No — 43%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions
Resolution rules
The snippet from 10/28/2026 points to a rise in the dollar driven by fiscal risk aversion in the Lula 4 administration, with investors comparing the scenario to the Dilma period, which increases exchange rate pressure.
Source: www.gazetadopovo.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se a cotação do dólar comercial (USD/BRL) atingir ou superar R$ 6,20 em qualquer dia útil até 31/12/2026, conforme a PTAX divulgada pelo Banco Central do Brasil. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 57% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 43 points, a wrong one costs about 57.