Politics · Open for opinions
Will the U.S. Congress pass specific legislation to regulate prediction market platforms by January 31, 2027?
Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi are experiencing explosive growth in the U.S., but face significant legal challenges. 24 opinions, 58% No
- Yes — 42%
- No — 58%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 24 opinions
Resolution rules
Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi are experiencing explosive growth in the U.S., but face significant legal challenges. The CFTC attempted to block bets on congressional elections, and regulation of the sector is being debated in Congress.
Source: www.washingtonexaminer.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido como 'Sim' se um projeto de lei voltado especificamente à regulamentação de prediction markets (como Polymarket e Kalshi) for aprovado em ambas as câmaras do Congresso americano e sancionado pelo presidente, conforme registro em congress.gov até 31/01/2027.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 58% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 42 points, a wrong one costs about 58.