Science · Open for opinions
Will the USGS record a new lava fountain episode at the Kilauea volcano between 10/09 and 10/31/2026?
Consider new lava fountain episodes recorded by the USGS between 10/09 and 10/31. 79 opinions, 59% Yes
- Yes — 59%
- No — 41%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider new lava fountain episodes recorded by the USGS between 10/09 and 10/31.
Source: www.sciencenews.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 09/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o Serviço Geológico dos Estados Unidos (USGS) registrar oficialmente ao menos um novo episódio de fonte de lava (lava fountain) no vulcão Kilauea até 31/10/2026, conforme boletins de atividade vulcânica do Hawaiian Volcano Observatory (HVO/USGS). Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 59% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 41 points, a wrong one costs about 59.