Finance · Open for opinions
What will be the official real GDP growth rate of the US in 2026, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)?
Trump stated on 08/31/2026 that US growth could reach 20%, a rate seen only once since World War II. 20 opinions, 25% Less than 2%
- Less than 2% — 25%
- Between 2% and 5% — 25%
- Between 5% and 10% — 25%
- Above 10% — 25%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Trump stated on 08/31/2026 that US growth could reach 20%, a rate seen only once since World War II. Economists view the projection as unrealistic; the conflict with Iran and high inflation are risk factors for growth.
Source: www.cnbc.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base na estimativa anual do crescimento do PIB real dos EUA para 2026 divulgada pelo Bureau of Economic Analysis (bea.gov) em sua publicação mais recente disponível até 28/02/2027. Utilizar a leitura de crescimento anual (ano cheio 2026 vs. 2025).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Less than 2% has 25% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 75 points, a wrong one costs about 25.