Science · Open for opinions
Will the European Commission or ESA announce a new European space launch autonomy program by October 31, 2026?
Consider official announcements regarding European space launch infrastructure between 09/19 and 10/31. 44 opinions, 61% No
- Yes — 39%
- No — 61%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 44 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider official announcements regarding European space launch infrastructure between 09/19 and 10/31.
Source: www.nature.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 19/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Comissão Europeia ou a ESA formalizarem e anunciarem uma nova iniciativa ou consórcio de soberania em lançadores espaciais até 31/10/2026, divulgado nos portais oficiais da ESA ou da União Europeia. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 61% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 39 points, a wrong one costs about 61.