Finance · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi be the prediction market platform with the highest liquidity in the US at the end of Q4 2026?
Platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket are growing rapidly in 2026, competing for leadership in the US prediction market across… 23 opinions, 35% Kalshi
- Kalshi — 35%
- Polymarket — 35%
- Another platform — 30%
Deadline: January 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 23 opinions
Resolution rules
Platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket are growing rapidly in 2026, competing for leadership in the US prediction market across categories such as sports, politics, economics, and weather.
Source: www.pennlive.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido com base em relatório público ou análise de terceiros reconhecida (ex.: The Block, Bloomberg) que aponte a plataforma líder em volume total negociado no período de outubro a dezembro de 2026. Em caso de empate ou ausência de dado oficial, o mercado permanece aberto.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Kalshi has 35% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 65 points, a wrong one costs about 35.