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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the Focus Report projections for the 2026 IPCA exceed 5.0% by November 28, 2026?

The Focus report pointed to revisions for the macroeconomic scenario, while the significant rise in oil above $116 increases… 86 opinions, 62% No

  • Yes — 38%
  • No — 62%

Deadline: November 28, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 86 opinions

Resolution rules

The Focus report pointed to revisions for the macroeconomic scenario, while the significant rise in oil above $116 increases inflationary risks. The market is attentive to the trajectory of inflation expectations in the Central Bank's weekly report.

Source: investidor10.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se qualquer edição do Boletim Focus divulgada pelo Banco Central do Brasil entre 26/10/2026 e 28/11/2026 registrar a mediana da projeção do mercado para o IPCA acumulado de 2026 igual ou superior a 5,00%. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.

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