Science · Open for opinions
Will the LZ experiment confirm dark matter detection at 5 sigma by 10/31/2026?
Consider formal confirmations from the LZ Collaboration about dark matter signals between 09/02 and 10/31. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider formal confirmations from the LZ Collaboration about dark matter signals between 09/02 and 10/31.
Source: www.sciencenews.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 02/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a colaboração científica do experimento LZ (LUX-ZEPLIN) anunciar em comunicado oficial ou submeter paper confirmando a detecção direta de matéria escura com significância de ao menos 5 sigmas até 31/10/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.