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Will the US and Iran formally sign a peace or regional security agreement by November 30, 2026?

Consider the formal signing of a diplomatic pact between the US and Iran between 10/26 and 11/30. 87 opinions, 55% No

  • Yes — 45%
  • No — 55%

Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 87 opinions

Resolution rules

Consider the formal signing of a diplomatic pact between the US and Iran between 10/26 and 11/30.

Source: www.reuters.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 26/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se representantes dos EUA e do Irã assinarem formalmente um tratado ou memorando de segurança até 30/11/2026, conforme confirmado pelo Departamento de Estado dos EUA, governo iraniano ou agências Reuters, AP e AFP. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.

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