World · Open for opinions
Will the Republican Party maintain control of the US Senate after the November 2026 midterm elections?
With inflation at 3.6% per year in September and tensions in the Middle East driving up energy prices, the challenging economic… 88 opinions, 55% Yes
- Yes — 55%
- No — 45%
Deadline: November 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 88 opinions
Resolution rules
With inflation at 3.6% per year in September and tensions in the Middle East driving up energy prices, the challenging economic scenario could impact the Republicans' performance at the polls. However, the Senate map historically tends to favor incumbents.
Source: www.theguardian.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido como 'Sim' se, após a certificação dos resultados das eleições de 3 de novembro de 2026, o Partido Republicano detiver maioria de assentos (51+) no Senado dos EUA, conforme apuração do Secretary of the Senate ou do Associated Press Election Results.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.