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Will the US PCE inflation index for October 2026 be above 3.6% per year?

The September 2026 PCE was 3.6% per year, up from 3.4% in August. 88 opinions, 55% No

  • Yes — 45%
  • No — 55%

Deadline: December 5, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 88 opinions

Resolution rules

The September 2026 PCE was 3.6% per year, up from 3.4% in August. Middle East tensions keep oil above $100/barrel, pressing prices.

Source: www.pbs.org

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve com base na divulgação oficial do Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) do índice PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) de outubro de 2026. Se a variação anual publicada for superior a 3,6%, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.

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