World · Open for opinions
Will the 10-year US Treasury yield exceed 5.5% per year before December 31, 2026?
The 10-year US Treasury yield reached 5.3% by the end of October 2026, pressured by Fed rate hikes in response to high inflation,… 88 opinions, 63% No
- Yes — 38%
- No — 63%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 88 opinions
Resolution rules
The 10-year US Treasury yield reached 5.3% by the end of October 2026, pressured by Fed rate hikes in response to high inflation, according to El País.
Source: english.elpais.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o rendimento do título do Tesouro dos EUA de 10 anos (10-Year Treasury Yield) fechar acima de 5,5% em qualquer pregão até 31 de dezembro de 2026, conforme dados do U.S. Department of the Treasury (treasury.gov) ou Bloomberg. Resolve 'Não' caso não atinja esse patamar.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 63% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 37 points, a wrong one costs about 63.