World · Open for opinions
Will US PCE inflation (year-over-year change) exceed 4% in the October 2026 reading?
PCE inflation accelerated to 3.6% per year in September 2026, driven by energy prices linked to the Middle East conflict and rising… 88 opinions, 63% No
- Yes — 38%
- No — 63%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 88 opinions
Resolution rules
PCE inflation accelerated to 3.6% per year in September 2026, driven by energy prices linked to the Middle East conflict and rising costs in services such as maritime transport, lodging, and utilities. Economists warn of signs of heating price pressures.
Source: www.pbs.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base no índice PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) divulgado pelo Bureau of Economic Analysis dos EUA (bea.gov) referente ao mês de outubro de 2026, previsto para publicação em torno de 25 de novembro de 2026. Se a variação anual for superior a 4,0%, resolve 'Sim'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 63% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 37 points, a wrong one costs about 63.