World · Open for opinions
Will US PCE inflation exceed 3.8% in October 2026 (annual change)?
The PCE index accelerated from 3.4% in August to 3.6% in September 2026, driven by fuel prices amid renewed tensions in the Middle… 88 opinions, 63% No
- Yes — 38%
- No — 63%
Deadline: December 5, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 88 opinions
Resolution rules
The PCE index accelerated from 3.4% in August to 3.6% in September 2026, driven by fuel prices amid renewed tensions in the Middle East. Economists point out that inflationary pressures are spreading beyond energy costs.
Source: www.pbs.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido como 'Sim' se o índice de inflação PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) dos EUA referente a outubro de 2026 registrar variação anual superior a 3,8%, conforme divulgação oficial do Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) em bea.gov.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 63% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 37 points, a wrong one costs about 63.