World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve raise the US benchmark interest rate at the December 2026 meeting?
With PCE inflation at 3.6% and the conflict in the Middle East pressuring fuel prices, the Fed had already raised interest rates… 88 opinions, 55% Yes
- Yes — 55%
- No — 45%
Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 88 opinions
Resolution rules
With PCE inflation at 3.6% and the conflict in the Middle East pressuring fuel prices, the Fed had already raised interest rates throughout 2026, pushing 10-year Treasury yields to 5.3%, according to El País.
Source: english.elpais.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base na decisão oficial do FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) divulgada em dezembro de 2026. Resolve 'Sim' se houver alta de qualquer magnitude na taxa dos fed funds; 'Não' se manter ou reduzir, conforme comunicado oficial do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.