World · Open for opinions
Will the average 30-year US mortgage rate exceed 7.5% before the end of 2026?
The average 30-year US mortgage rate reached 7.4% amid Treasury yields at 5.3%, pressured by the Trump administration's tariff policy… 88 opinions, 60% No
- Yes — 40%
- No — 60%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 88 opinions
Resolution rules
The average 30-year US mortgage rate reached 7.4% amid Treasury yields at 5.3%, pressured by the Trump administration's tariff policy and inflation resulting from the conflict with Iran.
Source: english.elpais.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base na pesquisa semanal Primary Mortgage Market Survey da Freddie Mac, publicada às quintas-feiras. Se a taxa média para hipotecas de 30 anos for registrada acima de 7,5% em qualquer divulgação entre 5 de novembro e 31 de dezembro de 2026, resolve 'Sim'. Fonte: freddiemac.com.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.