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Will US PCE inflation in October 2026 be higher than 3.5% year-over-year?

The US PCE index accelerated to 3.6% annually in September 2026, driven by fuel and service prices such as freight, hospitality, and… 88 opinions, 63% Yes

  • Yes — 63%
  • No — 38%

Deadline: December 5, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 88 opinions

Resolution rules

The US PCE index accelerated to 3.6% annually in September 2026, driven by fuel and service prices such as freight, hospitality, and utilities, according to PBS News Hour.

Source: www.pbs.org

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve com base na divulgação oficial do índice PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) de outubro de 2026 pelo Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) dos EUA. Resolve 'Sim' se a variação anual publicada for acima de 3,5%; 'Não' caso contrário.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 63% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 37 points, a wrong one costs about 63.

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Will US PCE inflation in October 2026 be higher than 3.5%… — 63% Yes · VoxFi