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Will the Federal Reserve raise the interest rate at the December 2026 FOMC meeting?

The Fed has already raised interest rates in response to inflation heated by conflicts in the Middle East, with PCE at 3.6% in… 88 opinions, 55% Yes

  • Yes — 55%
  • No — 45%

Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 88 opinions

Resolution rules

The Fed has already raised interest rates in response to inflation heated by conflicts in the Middle East, with PCE at 3.6% in September 2026 and Treasury yields at 5.3%. Inflationary pressure remains intense.

Source: english.elpais.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução baseada na decisão oficial divulgada pelo Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov) ao término da reunião do FOMC de dezembro de 2026, verificando se houve elevação da faixa-alvo dos Fed Funds.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.

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