World · Open for opinions
Will US PCE inflation in October 2026 exceed 3.8% year-over-year?
PCE accelerated from 3.4% in August to 3.6% in September 2026, driven by gasoline, freight, lodging, and import tariffs. 88 opinions, 63% No
- Yes — 38%
- No — 63%
Deadline: December 5, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 88 opinions
Resolution rules
PCE accelerated from 3.4% in August to 3.6% in September 2026, driven by gasoline, freight, lodging, and import tariffs. The upward trend and conflicts in the Middle East suggest continued pressure.
Source: www.pbs.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução pelo dado oficial do índice PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) de outubro de 2026, divulgado pelo Bureau of Economic Analysis (bea.gov). Mercado resolve 'Sim' se a variação anual do PCE for superior a 3,8%.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 63% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 37 points, a wrong one costs about 63.