World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve raise the interest rate (Fed Funds Rate) at its December 2026 meeting?
With inflation accelerating and the conflict in the Middle East keeping oil above $100, the Fed has already raised interest rates in… 88 opinions, 55% Yes
- Yes — 55%
- No — 45%
Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 88 opinions
Resolution rules
With inflation accelerating and the conflict in the Middle East keeping oil above $100, the Fed has already raised interest rates in a recent cycle, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield to 5.3% and the 30-year fixed mortgage rate to 7.4%. New inflation data pressures the central bank to act.
Source: english.elpais.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base na decisão oficial do Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) divulgada pelo Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov) na reunião de dezembro de 2026. Se o comitê anunciar elevação de qualquer magnitude na taxa de juros, resolve 'Sim'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.