Politics · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi or Polymarket face federal regulatory restrictions in the US by March 2027?
An Instagram post from 09/18/2026 discusses the risk of a ban on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, which allow real-money betting… 40 opinions, 85% No
- Yes — 15%
- No — 85%
Deadline: March 18, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 40 opinions
Resolution rules
An Instagram post from 09/18/2026 discusses the risk of a ban on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, which allow real-money betting on political outcomes in the US.
Source: www.instagram.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o Congresso americano aprovar legislação, ou agência regulatória federal (CFTC, SEC) emitir ordem definitiva restringindo ou proibindo operações de Kalshi ou Polymarket nos EUA, conforme publicação no Registro Federal ou site oficial da agência, até 18/03/2027. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 85% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 15 points, a wrong one costs about 85.