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Will the Federal Reserve raise interest again in the US before the end of 2026?

The Fed has just raised interest rates for the first time since 2023, citing persistent inflation and geopolitical risks from the… 37 opinions, 51% Yes

  • Yes — 51%
  • No — 49%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 37 opinions

Resolution rules

The Fed has just raised interest rates for the first time since 2023, citing persistent inflation and geopolitical risks from the war in Iran. The decision was unanimous and Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh signaled concern over elevated inflation.

Source: fox40.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o Federal Reserve anunciar pelo menos mais um aumento na taxa dos Fed Funds em qualquer reunião do FOMC até 31/12/2026, conforme comunicado oficial do Fed (federalreserve.gov). Resolve como 'Não' caso contrário.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 51% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 49 points, a wrong one costs about 51.

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