Science · Open for opinions
Will an independent study published in a peer-reviewed scientific journal confirm current volcanic activity on Mars (Alba Mons region) by March 31, 2027?
On November 4, 2026, a study published in Science Advances reported that ESA's ExoMars Trace Gas Orbiter detected hydrogen chloride… 89 opinions, 70% No
- Yes — 30%
- No — 70%
Deadline: March 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions
Resolution rules
On November 4, 2026, a study published in Science Advances reported that ESA's ExoMars Trace Gas Orbiter detected hydrogen chloride escaping from fissures near the Alba Mons volcano. The authors suggest that the region may harbor environments similar to terrestrial hydrothermal vents, where the
Source: www.livescience.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução como 'Sim' se artigo publicado em revista científica revisada por pares (ex.: Nature, Science, Science Advances, Geophysical Research Letters) — por equipe diferente da do estudo original do ExoMars de novembro de 2026 — confirmar independentemente que a detecção de cloreto de hidrogênio em Alba Mons é de origem vulcânica ativa. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 70% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 30 points, a wrong one costs about 70.