Finance · Open for opinions
Will US consumer inflation (CPI) exceed 4% year-over-year in at least one of the reports released by December 2026?
US inflation remains elevated in August 2026, pressured by tariffs, trade war, and geopolitical tensions with Iran, generating… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
US inflation remains elevated in August 2026, pressured by tariffs, trade war, and geopolitical tensions with Iran, generating volatility in bond markets and concern about a prolonged monetary tightening.
Source: www.usnews.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Mercado resolve como 'Sim' se o Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) divulgar ao menos um relatório mensal do CPI anual dos EUA acima de 4,0% entre setembro e dezembro de 2026. A fonte de resolução é o site oficial do BLS (bls.gov). Caso todos os relatórios do período fiquem em 4,0% ou abaixo, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.