Politics · Open for opinions
Will the Coalition for Prediction Markets get favorable legislation passed in any U.S. state by February 2027?
The Coalition for Prediction Markets, founded in December 2025, began hiring state and federal lobbyists in 2026 in response to… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 20, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The Coalition for Prediction Markets, founded in December 2025, began hiring state and federal lobbyists in 2026 in response to regulatory pressure and public relations campaigns from opposing groups. The legislative fight over the American market is intensifying.
Source: www.sportico.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se pelo menos um estado americano promulgar lei favorável à operação de mercados de previsão — diretamente influenciada pelo lobby do Coalition for Prediction Markets (Kalshi, Crypto.com, Coinbase, Robinhood, Underdog) — até 20 de fevereiro de 2027, conforme confirmação em fonte oficial estatal ou cobertura de veículos como Sportico, Bloomberg ou Reuters. Resolve como 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.