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Will the US annual inflation rate (CPI) be below 2.5% in any reading by October 2026?

US inflation fell to 2.3% at the lowest point of 2026, but rose again to 3.0% year-over-year, challenging the promises of the Trump… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

US inflation fell to 2.3% at the lowest point of 2026, but rose again to 3.0% year-over-year, challenging the promises of the Trump administration and pressuring the Fed to decide between holding or raising interest rates.

Source: www.facebook.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido como 'Sim' se o Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) divulgar variação anual do CPI inferior a 2,5% em qualquer leitura mensal com referência até outubro de 2026. Fonte: bls.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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Will the US annual inflation rate (CPI) be below 2.5% in any reading… — 50% Yes · VoxFi