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World · Open for opinions

Will Israel manage to form a coalition government by January 31, 2027?

Exit polls from the Israeli elections did not point to a clear winner, causing the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange index (Tel Aviv 125) to… 89 opinions, 58% No

  • Yes — 42%
  • No — 58%

Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions

Resolution rules

Exit polls from the Israeli elections did not point to a clear winner, causing the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange index (Tel Aviv 125) to fall by more than 3%, signaling prolonged political uncertainty.

Source: www.aljazeera.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se um governo de coalizão israelense for oficialmente empossado (juramento de posse do gabinete perante o presidente de Israel) até 31 de janeiro de 2027, conforme reportagem de fonte jornalística de referência internacional (Reuters, AP ou AFP). Resolve como 'Não' caso contrário.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 58% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 42 points, a wrong one costs about 58.

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