World · Open for opinions
Will the US PCE inflation rate for October 2026 exceed 3.6%?
In September 2026, the PCE registered a 3.6% increase over 12 months. 89 opinions, 55% Yes
- Yes — 55%
- No — 45%
Deadline: December 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions
Resolution rules
In September 2026, the PCE registered a 3.6% increase over 12 months. Economists warn that price pressures are broadening, driven by oil above $100/barrel and conflicts in the Middle East.
Source: www.pbs.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base na divulgação oficial do Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) dos EUA referente ao índice PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) de outubro de 2026. Resolve 'Sim' se o valor anualizado divulgado for estritamente superior a 3,6%.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.