World · Open for opinions
Will Democrats win control of at least one house of the US Congress in the November 2026 midterm elections?
An FT/Focaldata poll published on November 2, 2026, shows nearly 70% of American voters disapproving of Trump's handling of… 89 opinions, 52% Yes
- Yes — 52%
- No — 48%
Deadline: November 25, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions
Resolution rules
An FT/Focaldata poll published on November 2, 2026, shows nearly 70% of American voters disapproving of Trump's handling of inflation, with fuel prices and the impact of the war with Iran as main factors on the eve of the midterm elections.
Source: www.ft.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se, após a contagem oficial de todos os assentos disputados nas eleições de novembro de 2026, o Partido Democrata tiver maioria (218+ cadeiras na Câmara dos Representantes ou 51+ no Senado). Fonte: Associated Press Elections ou Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.