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Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at the November 2026 FOMC meeting?

The Federal Reserve has kept interest rates high in the face of inflation above target, with the 10-year Treasury yield at 5.3% and… 89 opinions, 85% No

  • Yes — 15%
  • No — 85%

Deadline: November 25, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions

Resolution rules

The Federal Reserve has kept interest rates high in the face of inflation above target, with the 10-year Treasury yield at 5.3% and the 30-year mortgage rate at 7.4%—the highest level since 2023. Inflation accelerated in September, reducing room for cuts.

Source: english.elpais.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução com base no comunicado oficial do Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) divulgado após a reunião de novembro de 2026. Resolve 'Sim' se o comunicado indicar corte de qualquer magnitude na taxa-alvo dos Fed Funds. Fonte: federalreserve.gov.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 85% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 15 points, a wrong one costs about 85.

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Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at the November 2026… — 85% No · VoxFi