World · Open for opinions
Will the US PCE inflation rate for October 2026 come in above 3.5% per year?
PCE rose from 3.4% in August to 3.6% in September 2026, driven by gasoline and services, according to Commerce Department data… 89 opinions, 65% Yes
- Yes — 65%
- No — 35%
Deadline: December 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions
Resolution rules
PCE rose from 3.4% in August to 3.6% in September 2026, driven by gasoline and services, according to Commerce Department data released on October 29, 2026. Middle East conflict pressures energy.
Source: www.pbs.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) divulgar o índice PCE de outubro de 2026 com variação anual acima de 3,5%. Resolve como 'Não' se vier em 3,5% ou abaixo. Fonte: comunicado oficial do BEA.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.