Science · Open for opinions
Will INPE or FAPESP confirm the continuation of record thermal stress in the Amazon in a report by October 31, 2026?
Consider official reports issued between 10/07 and 10/31 regarding the persistence of the impacts of drought and extreme heat on… 79 opinions, 65% Yes
- Yes — 65%
- No — 35%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider official reports issued between 10/07 and 10/31 regarding the persistence of the impacts of drought and extreme heat on tropical forests.
Source: agencia.fapesp.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 07/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o Inpe, Cemaden ou a FAPESP publicarem relatório técnico confirmando estresse térmico ou seca acima da média histórica na Amazônia até 31/10/2026, conforme divulgado em seus portais oficiais ou Agência FAPESP. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.