Science · Open for opinions
Will INMET issue a red alert for rain or storms for the capitals São Paulo or Porto Alegre between 09/15 and 10/31/2026?
Consider INMET major danger alert emissions for the São Paulo and Rio Grande do Sul state capitals between 09/15 and 10/31/2026 due… 35 opinions, 60% Yes
- Yes — 60%
- No — 40%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 35 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider INMET major danger alert emissions for the São Paulo and Rio Grande do Sul state capitals between 09/15 and 10/31/2026 due to El Niño extremes.
Source: metsul.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 15/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) publicar em seu portal oficial de alertas um aviso de nível Vermelho (Grande Perigo) para acumulado de chuva ou tempestade que abranja explicitamente o município de São Paulo (SP) ou de Porto Alegre (RS). Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.