Finance · Open for opinions
Which prediction market platform will have the highest total traded volume in 2026 midterm election markets?
Kalshi and Polymarket compete for leadership in election prediction markets. 22 opinions, 36% Kalshi
- Kalshi — 36%
- Polymarket — 32%
- Other platform — 32%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 22 opinions
Resolution rules
Kalshi and Polymarket compete for leadership in election prediction markets. Kalshi's integration with DoubleZero aims to attract institutional traders with access to real-time order book data, while Polymarket leads in overall liquidity.
Source: www.si.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base no volume total em dólares negociado em contratos relacionados às eleições de meio de mandato dos EUA de 2026, comparando Kalshi e Polymarket, conforme dados públicos divulgados pelas próprias plataformas ou por relatórios de analistas de mercado reconhecidos (ex.: Dune Analytics, CoinDesk) até 30 de novembro de 2026. Se nenhuma fonte objetiva comparativa estiver disponível, o mercado pode ser anulado.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Kalshi has 36% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 64 points, a wrong one costs about 36.