Finance · Open for opinions
Will Brazil's General Government gross debt exceed 83% of GDP in any month until December 2026?
The General Government gross debt reached R$ 10.8 trillion (81.9% of GDP) in June 2026, according to Central Bank data. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The General Government gross debt reached R$ 10.8 trillion (81.9% of GDP) in June 2026, according to Central Bank data.
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Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se qualquer nota de Política Fiscal divulgada pelo Tesouro Nacional ou Banco Central referente a competência entre agosto e dezembro de 2026 indicar dívida bruta do Governo Geral acima de 83,0% do PIB. Fonte: tesouro.fazenda.gov.br e bcb.gov.br
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.