Finance · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi surpass Polymarket in total trading volume related to the 2026 US midterm elections?
Kalshi and Polymarket are the leading prediction market platforms in the US and are competing for leadership in election trading… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Kalshi and Polymarket are the leading prediction market platforms in the US and are competing for leadership in election trading volume, a segment experiencing strong growth during the 2026 midterm season.
Source: www.si.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base em dados públicos de volume de negociações divulgados pelas próprias plataformas (kalshi.com e polymarket.com) ou por cobertura jornalística consolidada de veículo financeiro de referência (ex: Bloomberg, Reuters) após o encerramento das eleições. Considera apenas contratos de mercados eleitorais de 2026.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.