World · Open for opinions
Will the conflict between the US and Iran have any formal ceasefire or truce agreement by December 31, 2026?
Trump downplayed the conflict as a 'small war', but the impasse persists and is affecting global energy and bond markets,… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Trump downplayed the conflict as a 'small war', but the impasse persists and is affecting global energy and bond markets, complicating the Fed's interest rate decisions.
Source: www.youtube.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido como 'Sim' se um acordo formal de cessar-fogo ou trégua entre EUA e Irã for anunciado publicamente por ambas as partes ou mediado por organismo internacional (ONU, etc.) até 31/12/2026. Caso contrário, 'Não'. Fonte: declarações oficiais dos governos e/ou comunicados da ONU.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.