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Politics · Open for opinions

Will the Republican Party win a majority in the US House of Representatives in the November 2026 midterm elections?

The midterm elections take place less than a week after the October Fed meeting. 89 opinions, 60% Yes

  • Yes — 60%
  • No — 40%

Deadline: November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions

Resolution rules

The midterm elections take place less than a week after the October Fed meeting. Concerns about the cost of living, inflation, and higher fuel prices have dominated the campaign and influenced voter perception of the economy.

Source: www.washingtonpost.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se, após a certificação oficial dos resultados das eleições legislativas de novembro de 2026, os republicanos detiverem mais de 217 cadeiras na Câmara dos Representantes. Fonte: Associated Press (AP) ou site oficial da Câmara dos EUA (house.gov).

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.

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Will the Republican Party win a majority in the US House of… — 60% Yes · VoxFi