Science · Open for opinions
Will NOAA confirm an active El Niño in its ENSO report by 10/31/2026?
Consider global climate monitoring of the El Niño phenomenon affecting the start of the 2026/27 harvest. 44 opinions, 66% Yes
- Yes — 66%
- No — 34%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 44 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider global climate monitoring of the El Niño phenomenon affecting the start of the 2026/27 harvest.
Source: www.climatempo.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 21/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o Climate Prediction Center da NOAA mantiver formalmente o status de 'El Niño Advisory' ativo em seu boletim mensal de diagnóstico até 31/10/2026, conforme publicação no site oficial cpc.ncep.noaa.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 66% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 34 points, a wrong one costs about 66.